Perspective – Or, the Reason “On Pace” is Meaningless in MayBy
Almost immediately after my first two blog posts had been submitted (the Infante blog was submitted on the 13th and posted on the 15th) I found myself having a hard time deciding what to write about next.
The Marlins are in no way short of interesting stories and angles, the same as any professional sports franchise, but as an out-of-city follower it’s not as easy to keep my finger on the pulse of the team and its fans.
And, so I did the only thing I could think of doing; I texted my best friend. I began explaining how difficult it was to write about for a team that I can’t always see play and asked her for advice. She responded asking only which team it was that I am writing about.
The resulting conversation went like this.
Me: “Miami Marlins”
That was all the prompting I needed to begin writing about a 24-year old prospect who was then hitting .284 with a .369 OBP and a .391 slugging percentage. Similar to the Infante article I was jumping on the ‘this guy is awesome!’ bandwagon.
That was ten days ago.
Since, I’ve watched as have all of you as LoMo went 3 of his next 25 and saw his average drop 34 points, his OBP drop 23 points, and his slugging percentage plummet nearly 40 points and I began to re-remember the most important thing for any baseball fan to remember.
And, to quote myself from 11-days ago; “the MLB season is a marathon and not a sprint”
Perspective, as it turns out, can be an interesting thing.
How soon I forget.
There is a reason why “on pace” is practically meaningless in the first two months of the season. Morrison was “on pace” for 11 HR’s ten days ago, now he’s on pace for eight, and if he hits one tonight he’d be on pace for 12. In fact, if he were to completely go off and hit two homeruns tonight he’d then be “on pace” for 16.
At only 38 games and 113 AB’s one game, good or bad, can completely change a players’ “on pace” and paying too much attention to those numbers in May could drive a writer or a fan mad.
Which has become the point of my new post; a simple reminder to the fans, and me, as it turns out, to keep everything that happens in the opening months of the major league season in perspective.
It wasn’t long ago that people were reading a lot into an 8-14 start of the season with so many concerns about player performance including Heath Bell, Jose Reyes, and Hanley Ramirez. 22 days later and the team is now on a 15-5 run during the month of May, just 2.5 games back of the division leading Atlanta Braves while also sitting in the second Wildcard spot.
And, that lead will change, too. It will likely grow or fail to hold over the next four and a quarter months, and that’s okay. Like my failed ten-day old article about the greatness of Logan Morrison the standings too will continue to change over the weeks and months of the season and nothing is ever as good or as bad as it seems in May.
Except Omar Infante. He’ll still be a boss.